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On the 10th, butadiene rubber rose by 2.91%, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the exchange data, as of December 10th, the main contract butadiene rubber closed at 2,502, up or down by +2.91%, with a turnover of 276,300 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were clear, and the difference position was 3,308 lots. The total number of contracts for butadiene rubber futures was 377,800 lots, an increase of 120,100 lots over the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 68,000 lots, an increase of 631 lots over the previous day. Short positions in the top 20 seats of the contract were 74,800 lots, an increase of 138 lots over the previous day. (Sina Futures)Lu Zhe, chief economist of soochow securities: It is predicted that the drag of real estate on the economy will be greatly weakened in 2025. At the 2025 Dongwu Strategy Meeting held on the 10th, Lu Zhe, chief economist of soochow securities, said that the leverage ratio of Chinese government departments, especially the central government, is not high, which has sufficient policy space and full confidence in China's economy next year. The driving force of economic growth will come from three aspects. First, the growth rate of consumption will pick up. The "trade-in" policy has boosted consumption this year and is expected to play a greater role next year; Second, real estate has stopped falling and stabilized. Since the introduction of the "package policy" in October, various real estate indicators have shown signs of stopping falling. It is expected that it will continue to stabilize next year, and the drag of real estate on the economy will be greatly reduced; Third, the policy of "10 trillion yuan in five years" will stimulate the vitality of local governments, open up the blocking point of fiscal policy transmission, and support China's economy to be stable and far-reaching.Reuters survey: 56 out of 97 economists said that the Federal Reserve will cut the federal funds rate to 3.50%-3.75% or lower by the end of 2025 (70 out of 99 economists in November).

South Korea's ruling party is discussing the possibility of letting Yin Xiyue resign in February or March next year. According to many media reports on December 10th, South Korea's ruling National Power Party will announce the road map of South Korean President Yin Xiyue's "orderly withdrawal", and may announce the time and manner of Yin Xiyue's early retirement, including the different possibilities of "resignation in February and general election in April" or "resignation in March and general election in May". Lee Yang-soo, a member of the ruling party in charge of political stability, said that compared with impeachment, the timetables of the above two schemes have advanced faster, and Yin Xiyue's resignation and holding presidential elections will reduce uncertainty and minimize public opinion differences; "Yin Xiyue should step down in a safer and more dignified way than impeachment", and the party needs to make a decision on Yin Xiyue's "orderly withdrawal" this week. Earlier, Li Zaiming, leader of South Korea's largest opposition party, stressed that Yin Xiyue must be successfully impeached on December 14th.Repeated calls for performance compensation exceeding 500 million yuan failed. On December 10th, Runbang Co., Ltd. (002483.SZ, share price of 5.57 yuan, market value of 4.938 billion yuan) disclosed that the company recently filed a lawsuit with Wang Chunshan, a performance compensation obligor, to the Intermediate People's Court of Nantong City, Jiangsu Province, which was accepted. It is worth mentioning that Runbang shares received a letter of inquiry before, and the CSI Small and Medium Investor Service Center asked the company to explain what specific measures have been taken to solve the unfulfilled performance commitments in 2023 and the current progress, as well as the reasons why judicial measures have not been taken to recover. According to the announcement, on February 20, 2019, Runbang shares purchased 73.36% equity of Hubei CNPC Youyi Environmental Protection Technology Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "CNPC Environmental Protection") by way of issuing shares, with 990 million yuan in equity transfer price and 9 individuals and enterprises including Wang Chunshan as the counterparty. On the same day, Runbang Co., Ltd. and Wang Chunshan, the performance promise party, signed the Performance Compensation Agreement, and since then, both parties have successively signed two supplementary agreements. Wang Chunshan, as the performance promisor, promised that the net profit of the target company (whichever is lower before and after deducting the non-recurring gains and losses) under the consolidated income statement audited by an accounting firm entrusted by a listed company in compliance with the securities law from 2019 to 2023 shall not be less than 130 million yuan, 50 million yuan, 160 million yuan, 190 million yuan and 218 million yuan respectively. (per meridian)CEO of Petrobras: The previous strategic plan did not perform well by about 30%.

Israeli media: The air force attacked about 300 Syrian military targets. According to Israel's Jerusalem Post on the 10th, the Israeli air force has attacked about 300 targets in Syria and destroyed dozens of Syrian air force planes. According to reports, these attacks are mainly concentrated in southern Syria and around the capital Damascus, targeting Syrian military facilities and arsenals, including air defense systems and ground-to-ground missiles.Reuters survey: 56 out of 97 economists said that the Federal Reserve will cut the federal funds rate to 3.50%-3.75% or lower by the end of 2025 (70 out of 99 economists in November).Chief Financial Officer of Citigroup: The bank's systems and technologies have never been fully integrated.